Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.406774 0.530322 0.665026 0.820710 0.993789 1.178656 1.389475
2025-03-23 0.237597 0.399020 0.595496 0.841673 1.133189 1.460338 1.848868
2025-03-30 0.149302 0.318264 0.544011 0.843980 1.214133 1.642065 2.162063
2025-04-06 0.084192 0.245572 0.486051 0.825244 1.260142 1.776186 2.415411
2025-04-13 0.056908 0.219128 0.482416 0.869318 1.377675 1.990534 2.758340
2025-04-20 0.037716 0.198173 0.481592 0.913520 1.492841 2.200334 3.094742
2025-04-27 0.025126 0.183947 0.487529 0.964624 1.615224 2.417863 3.439641
2025-05-04 0.019703 0.184378 0.515886 1.046659 1.777532 2.684474 3.843611
2025-05-11 0.012136 0.172665 0.521654 1.094938 1.894680 2.894727 4.179465
2025-05-18 0.004565 0.149388 0.503428 1.105788 1.960578 3.040069 4.435981
2025-05-25 0.000008 0.107690 0.442660 1.047717 1.930179 3.061853 4.539936
2025-06-01 NaN 0.072318 0.383121 0.984929 1.888767 3.066309 4.619840
2025-06-08 NaN 0.049701 0.344737 0.955068 1.895525 3.137203 4.789001
2025-06-15 NaN 0.040890 0.338155 0.977721 1.977417 3.306879 5.083319
2025-06-22 NaN 0.030206 0.321202 0.980232 2.028756 3.435424 5.325050
2025-06-29 NaN 0.018581 0.293088 0.959941 2.045139 3.516935 5.506968
2025-07-06 NaN 0.017095 0.302239 1.007638 2.161969 3.731652 5.857354
2025-07-13 NaN 0.015764 0.311457 1.055386 2.278943 3.946723 6.208444
2025-07-20 NaN 0.015318 0.324542 1.110490 2.407061 4.176856 6.578919
2025-07-27 NaN 0.018382 0.354926 1.198743 2.585175 4.474061 7.034910
2025-08-03 NaN 0.017523 0.366177 1.250573 2.708698 4.698466 7.398652
2025-08-10 NaN 0.012934 0.356686 1.262211 2.771540 4.841618 7.659130
2025-08-17 NaN 0.004508 0.310919 1.199879 2.720528 4.830764 7.722558